Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.007483 0.008405 0.009411 0.010593 0.011946 0.013452 0.015257
2025-01-26 0.005986 0.007232 0.008709 0.010600 0.012972 0.015869 0.019705
2025-02-02 0.005365 0.006806 0.008613 0.011068 0.014349 0.018633 0.024730
2025-02-09 0.004728 0.006230 0.008197 0.010997 0.014936 0.020365 0.028564
2025-02-16 0.004300 0.005853 0.007966 0.011099 0.015709 0.022380 0.033011
2025-02-23 0.003877 0.005425 0.007599 0.010939 0.016050 0.023766 0.036665
2025-03-02 0.003614 0.005190 0.007471 0.011092 0.016847 0.025898 0.041752
2025-03-09 0.003332 0.004894 0.007216 0.011015 0.017256 0.027442 0.046063
2025-03-16 0.002997 0.004487 0.006753 0.010554 0.016979 0.027809 0.048356
2025-03-23 0.002796 0.004268 0.006558 0.010498 0.017360 0.029314 0.052889
2025-03-30 0.002730 0.004253 0.006683 0.010980 0.018706 0.032661 0.061391
2025-04-06 0.002501 0.003957 0.006321 0.010592 0.018458 0.033066 0.064145
2025-04-13 0.002305 0.003707 0.006029 0.010316 0.018422 0.033931 0.068140
2025-04-20 0.002175 0.003558 0.005897 0.010320 0.018920 0.035915 0.074903
2025-04-27 0.002129 0.003550 0.006006 0.010774 0.020336 0.039926 0.086899
2025-05-04 0.002008 0.003399 0.005848 0.010705 0.020696 0.041781 0.094243
2025-05-11 0.001922 0.003304 0.005782 0.010804 0.021408 0.044488 0.104164
2025-05-18 0.001809 0.003151 0.005598 0.010649 0.021559 0.045955 0.111218
2025-05-25 0.001745 0.003083 0.005565 0.010798 0.022386 0.049086 0.123290
2025-06-01 0.001658 0.002967 0.005431 0.010723 0.022702 0.051050 0.132573
2025-06-08 0.001535 0.002774 0.005135 0.010275 0.022117 0.050734 0.135292
2025-06-15 0.001465 0.002679 0.005025 0.010222 0.022447 0.052755 0.145341
2025-06-22 0.001455 0.002699 0.005147 0.010688 0.024075 0.058363 0.167687